Is Moscow Turning Off the Gas Tap?

October 19, 2021

In 2010, I was invited to hold a presentation titled “Will Russia someday close the gas tap?” It was a rookie mistake, early in my career, so I didn’t think about how the presentation would be advertised. I just suggested general topics I wanted to talk about in the broader context of...

China’s Policy of Illusory Security Is Destined to Fail in Afghanistan
October 19, 2021

China’s Policy of Illusory Security Is Destined to Fail in Afghanistan

The West Struggles to Understand China’s Common Prosperity
September 24, 2021

The West Struggles to Understand China’s Common Prosperity

The Handcuffing of Joe Biden
September 17, 2021

The Handcuffing of Joe Biden

Infrastructure: The Key to the China Challenge

Infrastructure: The Key to the China Challenge

September 01, 2021

China has been recognized by Washington as the major rival to the United States in nearly every field. However, this isn't the first time an Asian country has posed a threat to America's economic dominance. In the mid-1980s, Japan built up a massive trade surplus with the United States, igniting a...

Europe’s Thirst for Virtual Water: Blueberry Fields Forever?

Europe’s Thirst for Virtual Water: Blueberry Fields Forever?

May 27, 2021

Blueberries have long established themselves among the superfoods. They are tasty, low in calories and full of beneficial nutrients. Most importantly, they are a rich source of antioxidants that serve to protect against a range of diseases, most notably cancer. This might explain why the demand...

The Pacific Alliance at 10: A Global Future Beckons

The Pacific Alliance at 10: A Global Future Beckons

May 14, 2021

On April 28, 2011, an economic integration initiative involving Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru was announced following a forum held in Lima to discuss deeper regional integration. The Declaration of Lima saw the four countries commit themselves to deepening ties, with particular emphasis on...

Why a Focus on Green Hydrogen Is a Mistake

Why a Focus on Green Hydrogen Is a Mistake

May 12, 2021

Great expectations are placed on hydrogen as an energy carrier. In the future, the climate-neutral molecule will replace fossil fuels in applications where direct electrification is impossible or too expensive. This enables effective climate protection in energy-intensive industries, heavy...

What the UAE-Turkey Rivalry Means for Europe’s Energy Security

What the UAE-Turkey Rivalry Means for Europe’s Energy Security

April 30, 2021

In recent months, the United Arab Emirates has adopted a number of stances inimical to Turkish ambitions in the Mediterranean. This has taken the form of closer relations between the UAE, Greece and Greek Cyprus, more joint military exercises, and increased energy collaboration with Israel via the...

The Risk of a No-Deal Brexit Remains

The Risk of a No-Deal Brexit Remains

April 09, 2021

The risk that we will wake up on May 1 to find we have a no-deal Brexit after all has not disappeared. The deadline for the ratification by the European Parliament of the trade deal between the European Union and the United Kingdom was due to be February 28. But Parliament postponed the deadline...

The Brexit Deal Presents Opportunities for a New Partnership

The Brexit Deal Presents Opportunities for a New Partnership

February 03, 2021

It was agreed almost at the last minute: The Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) between the European Union and the United Kingdom, signed on December 30, 2020, prevented a no-deal Brexit just one day before the end of the transition period. Four and a half years after the referendum, relations...

No, the RCEP Is Not All About China

No, the RCEP Is Not All About China

January 25, 2021

Following the signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) on November 15, 2020, media reporting around the world has entered into fanfare mode. Western and Chinese media in particular are reporting on the free trade deal through the narrow lens of US-China competition,...

Forecasting the US-China Relationship

Forecasting the US-China Relationship

January 18, 2021

With a new US administration about to be inaugurated, it is prudent to look at the dynamics and variables shaping the future of one of the world’s most important relationships, that between Washington and Beijing. President Donald Trump came into office looking to take a more aggressive approach...

Brexit Trade Deal Brings Temporary, If Not Lasting, Relief

Brexit Trade Deal Brings Temporary, If Not Lasting, Relief

January 13, 2021

“What we call the beginning is often the end / And to make an end is to make a beginning.” So said Ursula van der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, announcing the completion of Brexit negotiations on Christmas Eve, quoting from T.S. Eliot’s “Little Gidding,” the final...

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