The Brexit Deal Presents Opportunities for a New Partnership

Feb 03, 2021

It was agreed almost at the last minute: The Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) between the European Union and the United Kingdom, signed on December 30, 2020, prevented a no-deal Brexit just one day before the end of the transition period. Four and a half years after the referendum, relations...

No, the RCEP Is Not All About China
Jan 25, 2021

No, the RCEP Is Not All About China

Forecasting the US-China Relationship
Jan 18, 2021

Forecasting the US-China Relationship

Brexit Trade Deal Brings Temporary, If Not Lasting, Relief
Jan 13, 2021

Brexit Trade Deal Brings Temporary, If Not Lasting, Relief

Was It Wise for India to Reject the RCEP?

Was It Wise for India to Reject the RCEP?

Dec 21, 2020

Last month, 15 Asia-Pacific countries formed the world's largest trading bloc. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is China’s response to the US jettisoning the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) under President Donald Trump. The deal excludes both India and the US. Though the...

Will Bolsonaro Leave Trumpism Behind to Embrace a Biden-led US?

Will Bolsonaro Leave Trumpism Behind to Embrace a Biden-led US?

Dec 16, 2020

Joe Biden’s victory in the US election is distressing news for Jair Bolsonaro, Brazil's right-wing populist president who admires Donald Trump. Five days after the American media called the race in Biden’s favor, Bolsonaro was yet to congratulate the Democrat. Since Brazil became a democracy...

The Road Leading to the India-China Standoff

The Road Leading to the India-China Standoff

Dec 02, 2020

The reason for the China-India standoff in the Galwan Valley may not be the oft-mentioned construction of the Darbuk-Shyok-Daulat Beg Oldie (DSDBO) road. The new thoroughfare improved Indian logistics in the Ladakh area, meaning that supplies and troops can be deployed with far greater speed....

Why Is Foreign Investment Flooding Into India?

Why Is Foreign Investment Flooding Into India?

Dec 01, 2020

For years, India suffered from what came to be called the “Hindu rate of growth” — a result of Jawaharlal Nehru’s policy choices. India’s first prime minister had a fascination for the Soviet Union and championed socialism. In India, this socialist economic model was incongruously...

In Asia, a New Kid on the Trade Bloc

In Asia, a New Kid on the Trade Bloc

Nov 16, 2020

History undergoes serious change thanks in particular to slow events that fly below the media’s radar. Focusing on dramatic, immediate events, the media tends to neglect the major shifts that unfold over time. Paradoxically, slowly developing events that often go unreported tell the true story...

Will Laos Become a Model for China’s Economic Colonialism?

Will Laos Become a Model for China’s Economic Colonialism?

Oct 16, 2020

The small Southeast Asian nation of Laos stands out as a success story in COVID-19 control. With only 23 confirmed cases, it has gradually lifted lockdown measures. Success on the medical front, however, will not be enough to carry the country through the economic whiplash that pandemic...

What Turkey Stands to Gain From Its Natural Gas Discovery

What Turkey Stands to Gain From Its Natural Gas Discovery

Oct 02, 2020

Turkey's first natural gas discovery was undoubtedly breaking news. As the world focused its attention on the escalation between Ankara and Athens in the eastern Mediterranean over natural resources and maritime borders, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan made the announcement on August 21 that marked...

Taking American Carnage to the Next Level

Taking American Carnage to the Next Level

Sep 18, 2020

It is a recent tradition among occupants of the White House, as they head out of office, to play a few practical jokes on their successors. The Clinton administration jesters, for instance, removed all the Ws from White House keyboards before handing over the keys to George W. Bush’s transition...

What Can the Gulf States Learn from the Belarus Crisis?

What Can the Gulf States Learn from the Belarus Crisis?

Sep 07, 2020

It might come as a surprise that the Gulf states have more than a passing interest in events in Belarus. Beyond growing economic ties, the political drama provides valuable lessons for the region’s monarchies and their efforts to maintain standards of living for their citizens without...

The Unintended Economic Impacts of China’s Belt and Road Initiative

The Unintended Economic Impacts of China’s Belt and Road Initiative

Sep 04, 2020

China’s footprint in global foreign direct investment (FDI) has increased notably since the launch of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in 2013. That served to bring Chinese overseas FDI closer to a level that one would expect, based on the country’s weight in the global economy. China...

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