It is horrific to watch the death, destruction and mass displacement of thousands of terrifiedand the triumph of the misogynist that ruled the nation 20 years ago. But the fall of the centralized, corrupt government propped up by the West was inevitable, whether this year, next year or 10 years from now.
The Hazaras of Afghanistan Face a Threat to Survival
Joe has reacted to America’s snowballing humiliation in the graveyard of empires by once again dispatching Envoy Zalmay Khalilzad to Doha, Qatar, to urge the government and the to seek a political solution. At the same time, the has dispatched B-52 bombers to attack at least two of Afghanistan’s 34 provincial capitals.President
In Lashkar Gah, the capital of Helmand province, the bombing has already reportedly destroyed a high school and a health clinic. Another B-52 bombed Sheberghan, the capital of Jowzjan province and the home of the infamous warlord and accused war criminal Abdul Rashid Dostum, who is now the military commander of the -backed government’s armed forces. Meanwhile, the New York Times reports that Reaper drones and AC-130 gunships are also still operating .
The Fall of the Afghan Army
The rapid disintegration of the cost of nearly $89 billion should come as no surprise. On paper, the national army has 180,000 troops. In reality, most of them are unemployed desperate to earn some money to support their families but not eager to fight their fellow citizens. The army is also notorious for its corruption and mismanagement.forces that the and its Western allies have recruited, armed and trained for 20 years at a
The army and the beleaguered and vulnerable police forces that man isolated outposts and checkpoints around the country are plagued by high casualties, rapid turnover and desertion. Most troops feel no loyalty to the corrupt replied: “When you look at recruitment, I always think about the families and how many children they have. The good thing is there is never a shortage of fighting-age males who will be able to join the force.”-backed government and routinely abandon their posts, either to join the or just to go home. When the BBC asked General Khoshal Sadat, the national police chief, about the impact of high casualties on police recruitment in February 2020, he cynically
But a police recruit at a checkpoint questioned the very purpose of the war, telling the BBC’s Nanna Muus Steffensen: “We Muslims are all brothers. We don’t have a problem with each other.” In that case, she asked him, why were they fighting? He hesitated, laughed nervously and shook his head in resignation. “You know why. I know why,” he said. “It’s not really our fight.”
Since 2007, the jewel ofand Western military training missions has been the commando corps or special operations forces, who comprise only 7% of national army troops but reportedly do 70% to 80% of the fighting. But the commandos have struggled to reach their target of recruiting, arming and training 30,000 troops. Poor recruitment from Pashtuns, the largest and traditionally dominant ethnic group, has been a critical weakness, especially from the Pashtun heartland in the south.
The commandos and the professional officer corps of the army are dominated by ethnic Tajiks. This community consists of the successors to the Northern Alliance, which the supported against the 20 years ago. As of 2017, the commandos are estimated at only 21,000. It is not clear how many of these Western-trained troops now serve as the last line of defense between the -backed puppet government and total defeat.
The’s speedy and simultaneous occupation of large amounts of territory all over the country appears to be a deliberate strategy to overwhelm and outflank the government’s small number of well-trained, well-armed troops. The have had more success winning the loyalty of minorities in the north and west than government forces have had to recruit Pashtuns from the south, and the government’s small number of well-trained troops cannot be everywhere at once.
US Fighter Jets
But what of the United States? Its deployment of B-52 bombers, Reaper drones and AC-130 gunships is a brutal response by a failing, flailing imperial power to a historic, humiliating defeat.
The Fallujah and Mosul in Iraq and Raqqa in Syria. How many Americans even know about the massacre of civilians that Iraqi forces committed when the -led coalition finally took control of Mosul in 2017? This came after Donald Trump, while campaigning in 2015, said that the should “take out the families” of Islamic State fighters.does not flinch from committing mass murder against its enemies. Just look at the -led destruction of
Twenty years after George W. Bush, Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld committed a full range of war crimes — from torture and the deliberate killing of civilians to the “supreme international crime” of aggression — is clearly no more concerned than they were with criminal accountability or the judgment of history. But even from the most pragmatic and callous point of view, what can continued aerial bombardment of cities accomplish, besides a final but futile climax to the 20-year-long slaughter of by tens of thousands of American bombs and missiles?
The intellectually and strategically bankrupt military and CIA bureaucracy has a history of congratulating itself for fleeting, superficial victories. The quickly declared victory in 2001 and set out to duplicate its imagined conquest in Iraq two years later. Then, the short-lived success of the 2011 regime change operation in Libya encouraged the and its allies to let al-Qaeda affiliates loose in Syria, spawning a decade of intractable violence and chaos and the rise of the Islamic State (IS).
In the same manner, corrupt national security advisers seem to be urging him to use the same weapons that obliterated the Islamic State group’s urban bases in Iraq and Syria to attack -held cities . But is not Iraq or Syria. First, fewer live in cities. Second, the ’s base is not in major cities, but in the rural areas where the other three-quarters of live. Despite support from Pakistan over the years, the are not an invading force like IS, but an nationalist movement that has fought for two decades to expel foreign invasion and occupation forces from their country.’s unaccountable and
In many areas, Aybak, the sixth provincial capital to fall, after a local warlord and his fighters reportedly agreed to join forces with the .forces have not fled from the , as the Iraqi army did from IS in 2014, but joined them. On August 9, the occupied
That very same day, the government’s chief negotiator, Abdullah Abdullah, returned to Doha for further peace talks with the . His American allies must make it clear to him, his government and the that the will support every effort to achieve a peaceful political transition.
The New Syndrome
But the United States must not keep bombing and killing civilians to provide cover for thegovernment to avoid difficult but necessary compromises at the negotiating table to bring peace to the long-suffering, war-weary people of . Bombing -occupied cities and the people who live in them is a savage and criminal policy that President must renounce.
The defeat of theand its allies now seems to be unfolding even faster than the collapse of South Vietnam between 1973 and 1975. The public takeaway from the defeat in Southeast Asia was the “Vietnam syndrome,” an aversion to overseas military interventions that lasted for decades.
As we approach the 20th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, we should reflect on how the Bush administration exploited thepublic’s thirst for revenge to unleash this bloody, tragic and utterly futile . The lesson of America’s experience in that country should be a new “ syndrome,” a public aversion to war that prevents future military attacks and invasions, rejects attempts to socially engineer the governments of other nations, and leads to a new and active American commitment to peace, diplomacy and disarmament.
The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Fair Observer’s editorial policy.
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