Ian McCredie

Ian McCredie is a former senior British foreign service official. Most recently, he was Head of Corporate Security for Shell International. He now focuses on helping companies navigate the complexities and manage the risk of frontier markets. He is a mathematics graduate and speaks Farsi, French and Danish.

Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump

Jun 19, 2019

Iran’s attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz were a sacrifice to lure Washington into a draw. Iran’s botched operation in the Strait of Hormuz, in which the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) navy nearly got caught in the act of mining two tankers, brought the world to the brink of an accidental … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

Novichok Suspects: Russia's Culture-Loving Assassins

Sep 17, 2018

The new Russian terror is a lesson in the value of freedom. It is also a lesson in the current weakness of the West.  No one believes that Ruslan Boshirov and Alexander Petrov, who have been identified by the British police as suspects in the poisoning of a former Russia spy Sergei Skripal and his … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

The Next War in the Middle East

Jul 09, 2018

Regime change in Iran is part of the grand strategy for the Middle East formed at that fateful meeting in Riyadh during Trump’s first overseas visit. US President Donald Trump is intent on war with Iran and is trying to lure the government in Tehran into a trap. The evidence for this is apparent. Trump … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

Will the CIA Nominee Stand Up Against Torture?

May 14, 2018

Gina Haspel has done nothing to demonstrate her independence and moral fiber, but only a professional capability and a willingness to obey orders. Gina Haspel, President Donald Trump’s pick to head the Central Intelligence Agency, compromised her integrity in front of the Senate Intelligence Committee on May 9 with her fumbled answers concerning torture. Despite persistent questioning, … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

The Lessons of the West's Incompetence in Syria

Apr 16, 2018

For all of President Trump’s bombastic threats, the actual attack made no effort to damage Assad’s grip on power or to tilt the balance in the civil war. The recent allied attack against Syria was a deliberately crafted gesture which amounted to no more than a statement that the use of banned chemical weapons will … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

Russia's Latest Message to Dissenters: You Are Next

Mar 14, 2018

The latest attempted assassination of former Russian double agent in Britain is the most recent piece of evidence that the Putin regime is a murderous thuggish outrage. For a brief moment it seemed that Russia could emerge from the dictatorship of the Communist Party and the chaos of the Yeltsin years into a sunlit future … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

The Long War of Ottoman Succession

Feb 20, 2018

Time and history may be moving in Iran’s direction when it comes to its ambition to fill the power vacuum in the Middle East. On February 10, at the end of an extraordinarily violent week, the Israeli military shot down an Iranian drone that crossed into Israeli airspace, and then bombed the drone launch site … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

Can Rouhani Play His Cards Right?

Jan 12, 2018

Hassan Rouhani is a shrewd politician, and he has spotted the opportunity to harness the recent discontent for his cause. The recent unrest in Iran is yet another illustration that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and his agents of oppression, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and its subsidiary Basij force, have lost all remaining claims to … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

Trump Makes Space for Russia in the Middle East

Dec 19, 2017

Trump’s effort to project American interests in the Middle East has been a disaster — to Russia’s benefit. Russia’s strategy in the Middle East is infinitely more perceptive and successful than the incoherent American effort. President Vladimir Putin’s recent visit is a good example of the expanding influence of Russia in the region. Egyptian and Russian … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

Saudi Arabia's Risky Plan Comes Undone

Nov 27, 2017

Mohammad bin Salman’s plan to bring the Middle East under Saudi control is slowly unraveling.  I ended my last piece on Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s (MBS) master plan for the Middle East with the question, “What could possibly go wrong?” The answer is, everything. There are four objectives in the master plan devised by … Continue reading "Iran Has Learned How to Play Trump"

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