25 Years On, The Dayton Peace Agreement Is a Ticking Time Bomb

Nov 20, 2020

Throughout Danis Tanovic’s Oscar-winning film “No Man’s Land,” a viewer waits distressingly for the bouncing mine to explode below the body of Cera, an injured Bosnian soldier lying in a trench. The last moments of this antiwar satire do not capture a real ending for the story — or...

For Libya, Peace Remains Unlikely
Nov 12, 2020

For Libya, Peace Remains Unlikely

Why Populists at the Helm Are Bad for the Economy
Nov 05, 2020

Why Populists at the Helm Are Bad for the Economy

Macron Claims Islam Is in “Crisis.” Erdogan Disagrees
Oct 27, 2020

Macron Claims Islam Is in “Crisis.” Erdogan Disagrees

What Would a Biden Victory Spell for US-Turkish Relations?

What Would a Biden Victory Spell for US-Turkish Relations?

Oct 19, 2020

In an interview for a new book from Washington Post journalist Bob Woodward, US President Donald Trump says: “I get along very well with Erdogan, even though you’re not supposed to because everyone says, ‘What a horrible guy.’” A lot is revealed in that statement. The key lies in the...

Will Idlib Be the Final Move on Syria’s Chessboard?

Will Idlib Be the Final Move on Syria’s Chessboard?

Oct 15, 2020

Recent rumblings portend a grim new episode for Syria’s Idlib province. Stretching along the northwestern border with Turkey, Idlib became the last redoubt of forces that oppose President Bashar al-Assad’s regime, namely Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and the National Liberation Front,  when...

How the US Can Win Back Clout in Syria

How the US Can Win Back Clout in Syria

Oct 06, 2020

The humanitarian crisis in northeastern Syria is well documented. Nonetheless, despite the devastation that has occurred and the likely peril that is soon to come, pleas from aid groups, journalists and refugees have not been enough to move policymakers to take action. One reason for this is that...

What Turkey Stands to Gain From Its Natural Gas Discovery

What Turkey Stands to Gain From Its Natural Gas Discovery

Oct 02, 2020

Turkey's first natural gas discovery was undoubtedly breaking news. As the world focused its attention on the escalation between Ankara and Athens in the eastern Mediterranean over natural resources and maritime borders, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan made the announcement on August 21 that marked...

As Europe Weakens, Turkey Is on the Rise

As Europe Weakens, Turkey Is on the Rise

Sep 29, 2020

The horrific experience of World War II compelled European leaders to establish a supranational organization that is now the European Union, which, if successful, would create among its members, especially between Germany and France, an unbreakable bond, preventing the otherwise "savage...

Is Assad Gearing Up for a Final Push in Syria?

Is Assad Gearing Up for a Final Push in Syria?

Sep 24, 2020

Ceasefires in Syria come and go, and so do the meetings between the outside players who hold it in their hands to determine if an end to the country’s 9-year civil war is in sight. The most recent meeting in Ankara between Turkish and Russian military officers was intended to discuss...

The Tangled Maps of Greece and Turkey

The Tangled Maps of Greece and Turkey

Sep 07, 2020

A person sitting at a café in the small town of Kaş, on Turkey’s southern coast, where the Taurus Mountains drop precipitously into the Mediterranean, would look out upon a blue bay and a small island. If they asked the waiter, he would tell them that the island — almost unbelievably — is...

Discovery of Natural Gas Exposes Turkey’s Political Rifts

Discovery of Natural Gas Exposes Turkey’s Political Rifts

Sep 01, 2020

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s announcement on August 21 that Turkey had discovered some 320 billion cubic meters of natural gas in the Black Sea has exposed the acutely divided domestic political environment in the country. Whereas the pro-Erdogan camp hailed the development as an...

Turkey Takes on the UAE in Palestine

Turkey Takes on the UAE in Palestine

Aug 25, 2020

The news that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is considering suspending ties with the UAE over its deal to recognize Israel reinforces the battle lines of the Middle East. The announcement nevertheless comes as little surprise. The Palestinian cause seems destined to be eternally used by...

Are China’s New Silk Road Ambitions a Desert Mirage?

Are China’s New Silk Road Ambitions a Desert Mirage?

Aug 12, 2020

Anthropogenic climate change and the unprecedented shift in the global center of economic gravity from West to East represent two of the most profound macrotrends set to transform the geopolitical landscape in the 21st century. Indeed, as Asia’s emerging powerhouses, notably China, with its...

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