What Is Behind the Escalation on the Kyrgyz-Tajik Border?

May 10, 2021

At the end of April, a conflict over water escalated into the most serious border clashes between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan since their independence from the Soviet Union. By May, 36 deaths had been reported on the Kyrgyz and 19 on the Tajik side, with more than 270 injured and dozens of homes...

Has the US Always Been at War?
May 04, 2021

Has the US Always Been at War?

Are Americans Waiting for a Cyber Apocalypse?
Apr 30, 2021

Are Americans Waiting for a Cyber Apocalypse?

Iraq’s Militias Send a Warning to Turkey
Apr 28, 2021

Iraq's Militias Send a Warning to Turkey

Israel Is the Rock on Which US Foreign Policy Is Built

Israel Is the Rock on Which US Foreign Policy Is Built

Apr 27, 2021

International military cooperation can take many forms. When pushed to the extreme, it can even turn into its opposite. What was meant to protect from danger can sometimes become the fact that precipitates an unwanted conflict. For that reason, most nations now seek to avoid the once popular idea...

Biden’s Policy Shift on Yemen Rings Alarm Bells in Riyadh

Biden’s Policy Shift on Yemen Rings Alarm Bells in Riyadh

Apr 19, 2021

At the beginning of February, the Biden administration made two relevant decisions on Yemen with far-reaching consequences for the country and US policy in the Arabian Peninsula. The first announcement concerned the end of US support for "offensive operations" conducted by the Saudi-led coalition...

The New York Times Predicts Our Future

The New York Times Predicts Our Future

Apr 15, 2021

The banner headline on the front page of Wednesday’s New York Times contained what can be interpreted as either a promise, a prophecy, a wild hope or a meaningless truism. It read: “Withdrawal of U.S. Troops in Afghanistan Will End Longest American War.” The headline linked to an article...

Why Joe Biden Must Act on Myanmar

Why Joe Biden Must Act on Myanmar

Apr 14, 2021

Burma, as Myanmar was known then, won its independence from the British in 1948. Since then, bilateral relations between the US and Myanmar can at best be described as lackluster. They have lacked what experts would call “strategic compulsions.” Western allies of the US lack strategic calculus...

EU Concern Over Ukraine Is Not Enough

EU Concern Over Ukraine Is Not Enough

Apr 13, 2021

Hostilities between Ukraine and Russia reached an alarming level last week when further Russian troops were deployed on the Ukrainian border. Despite a statement from the Kremlin describing the act as “not threatening,” Kyiv accused Moscow of moving thousands of soldiers to its northern and...

Escaping Thucydides’ Trap: Keeping the Peace Between Rising and Reigning Powers

Escaping Thucydides’ Trap: Keeping the Peace Between Rising and Reigning Powers

Apr 05, 2021

A conflict between the United States and China seems increasingly likely. A trade war that began several years ago has had economic repercussions for both sides. In the South China Sea, Chinese aggression against Taiwan is checked by the US military. In cybersphere, the war has already begun, as...

Is the Long War Finally Ending?

Is the Long War Finally Ending?

Apr 02, 2021

In October 1944, with the end of World War II in sight, Winston Churchill and Joseph Stalin passed a note back and forth to each other at a conference in Moscow. On the piece of paper, Churchill had assigned percentages to several Eastern European countries. Stalin amended the numbers...

It’s Time to Act, Not React, on North Korea

It’s Time to Act, Not React, on North Korea

Mar 30, 2021

Although things have been quiet in recent months and there has been no active dialogue between North Korea and the United States, developments in recent days suggest that Pyongyang is back on the agenda of the international community. First, it became known that the US has been reaching out to...

The US Joins the “Rules-Based World” on Afghanistan

The US Joins the “Rules-Based World” on Afghanistan

Mar 26, 2021

On March 18, the world was treated to the spectacle of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken sternly lecturing senior Chinese officials about the need for China to respect a “rules-based order.” The alternative, Blinken warned, is a world in which might makes right, and “that would be a far...

The ICC Has Stepped on a Political Minefield in Palestine

The ICC Has Stepped on a Political Minefield in Palestine

Mar 24, 2021

The rapidly-evolving geopolitical equation in the Middle East just got another layer of complexity added to it. Earlier this month, Fatou Bensouda, the chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC), announced the launch of an investigation into alleged war crimes committed in the...

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