Ryan Turner

Ryan Turner is a Political Risk Analyst in the intelligence team at Protection Group International (PGI). Prior to joining PGI, Turner was an Oil and Gas Analyst for a leading business intelligence firm. He specializes in security issues affecting the Middle East and North Africa, as well as the global oil and gas market. He has appeared on news stations such as the BBC and CNBC, where he has communicated the impact of political risk on energy markets. Turner graduated with an MSc in International Politics from the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London.

Trump Is Likely to Exit Iran Nuclear Deal

Mar 16, 2018

Trump appears increasingly likely to withdraw from the 2015 nuclear deal negotiated between Iran and other world powers despite pressure from Europe.  US President Donald Trump told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that he was demanding “significant changes” to the Iran nuclear deal to remain in the pact, according to...

Tanzania: LNG Project Stalls as Uncertainty Rises

Feb 08, 2017

Despite high-profile efforts to accelerate the development of Tanzania’s liquid natural gas assets, there remains no clear timeline for completion. Tanzanian President John Magufuli ordered officials to accelerate work on a proposed liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in August 2016, but the outlook for the project remains uncertain amid a...

Iraq: Instability to Persist After the Fall of Mosul

Jan 12, 2017

The eventual fall of Mosul will mark a significant victory for the Iraqi government and a major defeat for the Islamic State, though the group’s supporters will continue to launch terrorist attacks. On January 8, Iraq’s elite counterterrorism troops reached the eastern bank of the Tigris River in Mosul for...

Libya Instability to Persist as Challenges Mount

Sep 07, 2016

The successful no-confidence vote in the Government of National Accord on August 22 has led to renewed political uncertainty in Libya. The vote of no confidence by the eastern parliament, the Tobruk-based House of Representatives (HoR), underscores the fragility and volatility of the current political situation in Libya. In August...

Saudi Arabia: Diversification Remains Elusive as Economic Crisis Persists

Aug 19, 2016

Structural imbalances within the Saudi economy mean the country’s new strategy is only likely to partially achieve its aims.   The announcement of the new diversification strategy comes amid growing evidence of the severity of the economic crisis affecting Saudi Arabia. Official data from July showed the country fell into recession...

Who Will Succeed Ayatollah Khamenei?

Mar 23, 2015

Rumors about the Iranian supreme leader’s health highlight uncertainty around his eventual successor. On March 8, images showing Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking in public were broadcast on state television, in an apparent attempt to end speculation in foreign media that he was unwell. Although Khamenei appeared to...