Daniel Wagner

Daniel Wagner is the founder and CEO of Country Risk. He has three decades of experience assessing cross-border risk, is an authority on political risk insurance and analysis, and has worked for some of the world’s most respected and best-known companies, such as AIG, GE, the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank Group. He is the author of six books — "China Vision," "AI Supremacy," "Virtual Terror," "Global Risk Agility and Decision-Making," "Managing Country Risk" and "Political Risk Insurance Guide" — as well as more than 600 articles on current affairs and risk management.

Google and Our Collective AI Future

Jul 19, 2019

The pace of change in the artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning arena is already breathtaking, and it promises to continue to upend conventional wisdom and surpass some of our wildest expectations as it proceeds on what appears at times to be an unalterable and pre-ordained course. Along the way,...

The Coming Chinese World Order

Feb 19, 2019

Not since the modern liberal order was born in the 1940s has the world had to grapple with the possibility of its demise — at the hands of a rising China. China and the United States remain engaged in the most serious trade dispute the world has seen in generations....

The Virtual Islamic State Is Next

Nov 24, 2017

The Islamic State is increasingly going online to ensure its survival. Cyberspace is the ideal platform for terrorists because, unlike conventional warfare, barriers to entry into cyberspace are much lower. The price of entry is an internet connection. The surreptitious use of the internet to advance terrorist group objectives has...

Saudi Arabia’s Colliding Interests in Myanmar

Apr 18, 2017

Saudi Arabia’s support for the Rohingya Muslim minority in Myanmar is expected to continue for some time. Despite Aung San Suu Kyi’s decades-old image as an embattled political prisoner and proponent of ardent reform as an opponent of the previous military government in Myanmar, her new role as state councilor...

Will the Saudis Deploy Ground Forces to Syria?

Feb 10, 2016

If Saudi Arabia sends ground troops to Syria, it would be the first time that the kingdom has fought two wars at the same time in the Middle East. In September 2014, the White House emphasized the importance of obtaining support from Sunni Arab states prior to launching an air...

Saudi Arabia’s Anti-Terror “Coalition” is a House of Cards

Dec 23, 2015

With differing interests, the Saudi-led anti-terror coalition is unlikely to weaken the Islamic State. On December 15, Saudi Arabia’s young and inexperienced defense minister announced a military coalition made up of nearly three dozen mainly Sunni Muslim states, stretching from Morocco to Bangladesh. The Saudi-led alliance’s stated purpose is to...

The US and Iran’s Common Interests in Syria

Nov 07, 2015

The conflicts in Syria, Iraq and Yemen cannot be resolved unless Iran is at the negotiating table. For decades, consecutive US administrations pursued a foreign policy in the Middle East designed to “contain” the Islamic Republic of Iran. However, the signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action by the...

Four Years After Gaddafi, Libya is a Failed State

Apr 07, 2015

Weapons are pouring out of Africa’s most oil-rich country, while extremist fighters tumble in. Nearly four years after NATO-backed rebels toppled Muammar Gaddafi, the former Libyan ruler, Libya has plunged into chaotic unrest. The failure of last year’s election to achieve political unity in Libya was most evident when Fajr...

France's 19th Century Foreign Policy Fails in 2014

Jan 23, 2014

French intervention in the Central African Republic has turned out to be a bigger challenge than initially expected. Under the pretext of sparing the world another genocide, France deployed 1,600 troops to the Central African Republic (CAR) late last year. Since Operation Sangaris was launched, however, the French military has...

Load More