Daniel Wagner

Daniel Wagner is the founder and CEO of Country Risk. He has three decades of experience assessing cross-border risk, is an authority on political risk insurance and analysis, and has worked for some of the world’s most respected and best-known companies, such as AIG, GE, the African Development Bank, the Asian Development Bank and the World Bank Group. He has published seven books — “The America-China Divide,” “China Vision” and “AI Supremacy,” “Virtual Terror,” “Global Risk Agility and Decision-Making,” “Managing Country Risk” and “Political Risk Insurance Guide” — as well as more than 700 articles on current affairs and risk management. Wagner is a regular contributor to such publications as the South China Morning Post, the Sunday Guardian and The National Interest, among others.

To Out-Think Beijing, Washington Will Need to Adopt Visionary Planning

Feb 13, 2020

Sino-US relations have been a marriage of mutual economic convenience that worked rather well for both countries for several decades. What is commonly referred to as “Chimerica” — where China produces products and purchases American treasury bonds, and the US purchases Chinese products and derives fiscal stability as a result...

China’s Race for Scientific and Technological Supremacy

Jan 13, 2020

Science and technology will become the lifeblood of the Chinese economy in this decade and will remain its lifeblood in the future. That is, in part, because China has become sufficiently advanced to be able to effectively compete with the US and other technological leaders in the West. It is...

America vs. China: An Ideological Choice

Jan 06, 2020

China’s incredible rise as a global power over the past 30 years has really only been possible because of the liberal world order that America helped create, which Beijing used to its maximum advantage. China has embedded itself into the world order economically, diplomatically, technologically, in business and in so...

Google and Our Collective AI Future

Jul 19, 2019

The pace of change in the artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning arena is already breathtaking, and it promises to continue to upend conventional wisdom and surpass some of our wildest expectations as it proceeds on what appears at times to be an unalterable and pre-ordained course. Along the way,...

The Coming Chinese World Order

Feb 19, 2019

Not since the modern liberal order was born in the 1940s has the world had to grapple with the possibility of its demise — at the hands of a rising China. China and the United States remain engaged in the most serious trade dispute the world has seen in generations....

The Virtual Islamic State Is Next

Nov 24, 2017

The Islamic State is increasingly going online to ensure its survival. Cyberspace is the ideal platform for terrorists because, unlike conventional warfare, barriers to entry into cyberspace are much lower. The price of entry is an internet connection. The surreptitious use of the internet to advance terrorist group objectives has...

Saudi Arabia’s Colliding Interests in Myanmar

Apr 18, 2017

Saudi Arabia’s support for the Rohingya Muslim minority in Myanmar is expected to continue for some time. Despite Aung San Suu Kyi’s decades-old image as an embattled political prisoner and proponent of ardent reform as an opponent of the previous military government in Myanmar, her new role as state councilor...

Will the Saudis Deploy Ground Forces to Syria?

Feb 10, 2016

If Saudi Arabia sends ground troops to Syria, it would be the first time that the kingdom has fought two wars at the same time in the Middle East. In September 2014, the White House emphasized the importance of obtaining support from Sunni Arab states prior to launching an air...

Saudi Arabia’s Anti-Terror “Coalition” is a House of Cards

Dec 23, 2015

With differing interests, the Saudi-led anti-terror coalition is unlikely to weaken the Islamic State. On December 15, Saudi Arabia’s young and inexperienced defense minister announced a military coalition made up of nearly three dozen mainly Sunni Muslim states, stretching from Morocco to Bangladesh. The Saudi-led alliance’s stated purpose is to...

The US and Iran’s Common Interests in Syria

Nov 07, 2015

The conflicts in Syria, Iraq and Yemen cannot be resolved unless Iran is at the negotiating table. For decades, consecutive US administrations pursued a foreign policy in the Middle East designed to “contain” the Islamic Republic of Iran. However, the signing of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action by the...

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