Russia’s Plan Might Be Better than We’ve Been Hoping

Despite losses, economic costs, and Western hopes of retreat, Russia remains determined to continue fighting in Ukraine.

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Ukraine's spring offensive stalls, raising the possibility of a prolonged stalemate. Russia's strategic outlook explains its continued fight.

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Understanding Russia's perception of the Maidan Revolution in 2014 helps discern its long-term objectives in Ukraine.

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Russia viewed the Maidan movement as a potential NATO accession threat, deeming NATO forces east of the Dnieper unacceptable.

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Russia relies on Crimea's naval port in Sevastopol for its Black Sea fleet, crucial for maintaining regional power.

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Russia avoids loss of face by supporting pro-Russian rebels and maintaining influence in post-Soviet space.

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Russia's strategic goals drive its persistence in Ukraine, safeguarding assets and demonstrating support for rebels.

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War worsens Ukraine's demographics, economy, and recovery, hindering population growth and refugee return.

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