Russia’s Plan Might Be Better than We’ve Been Hoping


Despite losses, economic costs, and Western hopes of retreat, Russia remains determined to continue fighting in Ukraine.

Ukraine's spring offensive stalls, raising the possibility of a prolonged stalemate. Russia's strategic outlook explains its continued fight.

Understanding Russia's perception of the Maidan Revolution in 2014 helps discern its long-term objectives in Ukraine.

Russia viewed the Maidan movement as a potential NATO accession threat, deeming NATO forces east of the Dnieper unacceptable.

Russia relies on Crimea's naval port in Sevastopol for its Black Sea fleet, crucial for maintaining regional power.

Russia avoids loss of face by supporting pro-Russian rebels and maintaining influence in post-Soviet space.

Russia's strategic goals drive its persistence in Ukraine, safeguarding assets and demonstrating support for rebels.

War worsens Ukraine's demographics, economy, and recovery, hindering population growth and refugee return.