Make Sense of the 2023 Spanish Elections

BY: FRANCISCO RODRIGUEZ-JIMENEZ & ATUL SINGH

Spain's July 23 election inconclusive, no majority, potential 2023 election due to ongoing political shifts.

[{"selector":"#anim-7b6eeb90-3c52-41f7-a3af-174a71cf56a0","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-617268a4-3097-4106-82ed-a40a3a200dbc","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 119.48806%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-faf1fe09-6e53-4786-a961-e110591d001e [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 2.7581644055565207e-7%) scale(0.9090909090909091)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}]

Spanish politics: 4 main parties, Basque, Catalonia regions, tension, independence issues, Puigdemont in exile.

[{"selector":"#anim-459caf70-4281-4842-8e5c-4e7bb8d18cd6 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 2.7581644055565207e-7%) scale(0.9090909090909091)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-a4759643-f31c-4d7d-b4a8-3d75b02d6a2e","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-52fb5c75-53db-4867-a9a3-9963858dadaf","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 127.65293%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Regional parties weakened, national parties won, no coalition due to ideological differences and member concerns.

[{"selector":"#anim-d0c5054c-6c87-442f-b3ef-525cf206b363 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 2.7581644055565207e-7%) scale(0.9090909090909091)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-99f5d71a-3480-40bd-9db1-a86e5d568fdb","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ce7c98d5-2824-4cd2-9e27-985f10077b2d","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 127.65293%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Vox's Franco legacy, PP split risks coalition, no Med far-right wave, Spain's polarization, culture impacts election.

[{"selector":"#anim-aa600da4-8be1-4d45-9001-c7266cef79dc [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(-0.5201944589441314%, -0.00156222427837866%) scale(0.9090909090909091)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-11407660-3ba7-403b-96c1-0a4081809676","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-c4d0b62a-ade3-4327-9cae-23464ff216bc","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 122.82280%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Corruption hit PP, emergence of Podemos, Ciudadanos. Vox impact led to incumbents' loss due to negative voting.

[{"selector":"#anim-fd0ad6b4-1a55-4730-8303-5defc389cd66 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 2.7581644055565207e-7%) scale(0.9090909090909091)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-246417bd-4d64-4033-995b-878925f69262","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ecf491fc-9d29-44a8-973d-3874208a4abc","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 122.82280%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Sánchez's split reputation, outsider PM, successful no-confidence vote, labeled Machiavellian for the move.

[{"selector":"#anim-23a96de7-0574-49ad-aa75-515b4b994625 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 2.7581644055565207e-7%) scale(0.9090909090909091)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-6eb185ec-350d-4706-bb92-2f7edfa80f70","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-2a576ae6-fe20-42d8-bad8-21cef487064b","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 127.65293%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Critics urge elections for corruption, Sánchez's alliance toxic, lacks stability, neither party likely to reach majority.

[{"selector":"#anim-d411674b-826a-496c-b31f-b08e41e188dd [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(0%, 2.7581644055565207e-7%) scale(0.9090909090909091)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-483b0470-564b-4658-b80f-2bfeac775839","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-46eff8d8-4575-487a-89fb-6eec01e9e1ae","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 122.82280%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

Puigdemont arrest, ideological divisions hinder coalitions, Spain's EU presidency at risk due to political instability.

[{"selector":"#anim-83e8365d-864d-4cba-ac75-323a738ca6aa [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate(1.7797301327375272%, 2.684938725784513e-7%) scale(0.8849557522123894)","translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-78fc9fb6-f550-4ab3-a66b-c59b53e79372","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-5991a120-0454-4a93-8508-ffc246bea085","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(0px, 122.82280%, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}]

CLICK HERE TO READ

[{"selector":"#anim-92be016e-e98b-4e28-ab9d-a17e9426290b","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(1)","scale(1.5)","scale(0.95)","scale(1)"],"offset":[0,0.33,0.66,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"ease-in-out","fill":"both","iterations":1}]