Big Drama in Russia-Ukraine War

Yevgeny Prigozhin's Wagner Group led an open rebellion in Russia, targeting Putin's defense minister Sergei Shoigu.

Prigozhin surprisingly gave up rebellion, accepted exile in Belarus, and allowed his troops to join the regular army.

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Prigozhin's bid for influence fades as regular army sidelines him, amid fears for his life and alcohol abuse.

Carle describes Prigozhin as driven and brutal but not a military genius, surrender could be from failed support.

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Carle dismisses Western hope for Putin's regime collapse, Putin retains control and punishes opposition.

Ukraine faces challenges as Western resolve wavers. Prigozhin's actions won't have substantial impact on the war.

Ukraine's economy suffered before the Kakhovka dam disaster, affecting global cereal and sunflower oil supplies.